Having the results of the crypto index provides an
opportunity to look at the two simple strategies during periods with different
growth rates. The coins involve are BTC, ETH, and LTC. The strategies are
B&H (buy and hold) and Re-Balance (sell some of the best performer daily
and use the proceeds to buy some of the worst performer). The periods involved
represented slow growth, rapid growth, rapid decline, and level. Following are
the results.
Period
|
Ret/Day B&H
|
Ret/Day Re-Balance
|
Days
|
Lo Date
|
Hi Date
|
Slow Growth
|
$23.38
|
$26.22
|
225
|
04/01/17
|
11/12/17
|
Rapid Growth
|
$71.91
|
$68.36
|
33
|
11/13/17
|
12/16/17
|
Rapid Decline
|
-$5.82
|
-$6.39
|
56
|
12/17/17
|
02/11/18
|
Level
|
-$7.57
|
-$8.37
|
46
|
02/12/18
|
03/30/18
|
The results continue to be mixed. The Re-Balance was the best
during the longest period, slow growth. B&H was better during the other
periods. Note: the level period was slightly lower at the end than the
beginning, hence the losses.
The next direction for this effort will be to attempt to
find buy or sell indicators for individual coins. The first indicator will be
using Bollinger Bands. There is a very good discussion forum at www.sportsbookreview.com called
“Bitcoin Sports Betting”. If you have some comments, discussion, questions,
criticism, suggestions, and general feedback consider placing them there.
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